|
Just started learning about Analytics, and here is a thought.
Among the many things we are now able to predict reasonably well, a few are:
- the taste of wine, without ever tasting it,
- the results of a baseball team,
- the risk of coronary heart disease (?).
Now, the question:
Can we predict the headlines in tomorrow's newspaper?
Most likely, the answer is 'no'. Does this mean that the number of variables is too too large, and finding relationships between them is next to impossible?
Your thoughts?
|
|
|
|
|
An almost sensible answer -
The taste of wine depends on environmental variables
A baseball team is well a team and groups of teams are reasonably predictably
Heart condition can be determined and is influenced by environmental variables.
Tomorrows headlines are the whim of a single person, the editor and therefore are less predictable. However as a caveat, some papers are so consistent the quality of the headline is entirely predictable!
Never underestimate the power of human stupidity
RAH
|
|
|
|
|
...get your coat let me know...
Programmer : A machine that converts coffee into code !
|
|
|
|
|
|
Avijnata wrote: Can we predict the headlines in tomorrow's newspaper? I can do that. The only question is how much are you willing to pay for it?
You have just been Sharapova'd.
|
|
|
|
|
I meant, more in a scientific / algorithmic sense. Can a (machine learning?) algo do that?
|
|
|
|
|
They can be predicted to some extent. When some major event happens you know what the headline of next day's newspaper will be. For example elections or disasters. Every year around may our newspapers have headlines like "X students take high school exam" and the week after that "Fraud with high school exams"
That stuff is pretty predictable. Have you ever noticed how many newspapers have more or less the same headline on any given day? That's not a coincidence
|
|
|
|
|
Yes.
Let me rephrase a bit. I meant 'newspapers' in a generic sense.
The modified question is:
Can we predict what the headlines will be on << * >> channel in the next six hours?
* CNN, BBC, whatever
|
|
|
|
|
My answer above still applies
Whether you're looking at a tech channel, a gaming channel, a cooking channel, or whatever, they'll all be covering major items in their business and they all want to cover what the competition is covering so they'll be keeping a close eye on each other too.
|
|
|
|
|
All you need to predict headlines is to see what's trending on twitter tonight, and that will be a headline in the morning.
No object is so beautiful that, under certain conditions, it will not look ugly. - Oscar Wilde
|
|
|
|
|
I think more accurate these days is what they are afraid to print or won't print.
New version: WinHeist Version 2.1.0
When you are dead you don't know it, it's only difficult for others.
It's the same when you're stupid.
|
|
|
|
|
I predict that tomorrows headlines will include:
- something about that crashed airplane
- trouble in the middle east
- financial recession not dead yet
- russia did something
- daylight savings time found to reduce productivity
|
|
|
|
|
I'll replace your last item with "Some or other government scandle". While we don't have daylight savings, we have an abundance of government scandals.
No object is so beautiful that, under certain conditions, it will not look ugly. - Oscar Wilde
|
|
|
|
|
Add:
- There are people having more fun than you
|
|
|
|
|
Winner[^]
Once you lose your pride the rest is easy.
In the end, only three things matter: how much you loved, how gently you lived, and how gracefully you let go of things not meant for you. – Buddha
Simply Elegant Designs JimmyRopes Designs
|
|
|
|
|
|
I am in awe of people like you who follow the lounge so fervently. Some day I will have nothing to do so that I can follow everything that was ever posted here.
Until then make sure you monitor the lounge so nothing gets posted that has been posted before.
We are all counting on you. It is a big responsibility. Don't let us down.
Once you lose your pride the rest is easy.
In the end, only three things matter: how much you loved, how gently you lived, and how gracefully you let go of things not meant for you. – Buddha
Simply Elegant Designs JimmyRopes Designs
|
|
|
|
|
I am a manager, and follow the QA part to make sure that my reports don't post any confidential info. Occasionally come to the lounge too
|
|
|
|
|
Keep up the good work.
Don't let your manager see you in the lounge. It might be difficult to explain.
Oh wait, just say that you are making sure that your "reports" are not posting things that were posted before.
Once you lose your pride the rest is easy.
In the end, only three things matter: how much you loved, how gently you lived, and how gracefully you let go of things not meant for you. – Buddha
Simply Elegant Designs JimmyRopes Designs
|
|
|
|
|
I'm sorry but I must come bact to visit this. I read your response yesterday and it has been bothering me ever since.
You refer to the people who report to you as my "reports".
That is a very demeaning way of referring to people, whether you respect them or not.
Obviously, you do not respect them as human beings, but some way of making you look good to your management.
These people, however you think of them, are human beings, not your "reports".
Please treat them as such.
I am happy I do not "report" to you.
I expect more consideration from the people with whom I work.
Notice, I said work with rather than whom I work for. They are essential to whatever endeavorer they are engaged in, regardless of who is in charge.
You, on the other hand, are disposable. Managers are an unlimited quantity. People who accomplish what is necessary are to be valued.
Once you lose your pride the rest is easy.
In the end, only three things matter: how much you loved, how gently you lived, and how gracefully you let go of things not meant for you. – Buddha
Simply Elegant Designs JimmyRopes Designs
|
|
|
|
|
It was all in jest.
I am not a manager; just relinquished that post early this year. Am back as an individual contributor, don't have any direct 'reports'.
Also, I didn't invent the term 'reports' - this is the one which HR uses. Not sure whether it is an American / European term, since I've seen them being used in both American and European companies.
And, once again, sorry for posting the Leslie item. Apologies. Sorry for hurting you in any way.
JimmyRopes wrote: bothering me ever since
Just a small word, if you don't mind: Please don't get bothered by things which don't need so much botheration. There are many more important things in life, than someone's comments on the Lounge.
|
|
|
|
|
Avijnata wrote: Just a small word, if you don't mind: Please don't get bothered by things which don't need so much botheration. There are many more important things in life, than someone's comments on the Lounge.
When someone demeans people, regardless of the forum, I get insulted.
That is just my nature, and I refuse to be placated.
Once you lose your pride the rest is easy.
In the end, only three things matter: how much you loved, how gently you lived, and how gracefully you let go of things not meant for you. – Buddha
Simply Elegant Designs JimmyRopes Designs
|
|
|
|
|
If it was demeaning, sorry again. Please forgive and forget.
|
|
|
|
|
Avijnata wrote: If it was demeaning, sorry again. Please forgive and forget.
Yes I will.
Please, in the future, refer to people with respect, regardless of your position.
Once you lose your pride the rest is easy.
In the end, only three things matter: how much you loved, how gently you lived, and how gracefully you let go of things not meant for you. – Buddha
Simply Elegant Designs JimmyRopes Designs
|
|
|
|
|