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True. Whenever we discuss the future, we need to distinguish between one of several futures: what we wish would occur, what we thing could occur, and what will probably happen. In the short term, inertia will hold us on a narrow path of incremental evolution. When most of the control is exercised by certain big players, things will progress more and more slowly. Compare how much has changed between 1950 and 1985, and how small the subsequent changes have been in comparison.
Eventually, someone will step out of the forest and show the world the pointless drudgery of pouring gigabytes of literal code into thousands of unintelligent frameworks. They will analyze what the programmers and their programs are doing, together as a single unit, and realize that it is much like a person pulling a horse forward. However, when that day comes, it could amount to little if the market isn't ready for something new.
Larry Ness
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